Friday 6 November 2020

Trump will be the First Incumbent President to Lose Despite Gaining More Votes

Only four incumbent presidents since 1912 did not win re-election but in all cases they lost with less votes than in the previous election. President Taft's votes collapsed from 7 million to 3 million,  Hoover's from 21 million to 15 million, Carter's from 40 million to 35 million and Bush Senior's from 48 million to 39 million.

Trump will be the first incumbent President to gain votes, almost 7 million, and still lose re-election.

But not only that, in all the key battleground states, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Pennsylvania and Florida, Trump increased his vote from 2016, in some cases considerably. In the case of the other four incumbents, their vote decreased in all of these key states.  

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