The researchers believe there is plenty of data to show we will also have a much stormier future. “We have seen the trends and they agree with the models,” Dr Murphy says. “All we have to do is look at the extremes – for example, the flooding from last year. It could be anything from 10 per cent to 40 per cent wetter in winter [Irish Times].”
Scientific theories should always be based on long term evidence and data. Stating that the flooding was bad last year is not science. In fact, it's the exact opposite of science. Yes, last winter was exceptionally wet. But only three of the past eight winters had above average rainfall i.e 37%. The conventional narrative is that winters are getting progressively wetter but in fact it's the opposite. Almost two in three winters now in Ireland are drier than the long term average. This can all be checked on Met Eireann website (although I notice that it's harder to find the archived reports than it used to be).
So the great delusion goes on. We are all expected to join in and pay up. Dissenters are ostracized. We have to spend millions to satisfy how some people feel because last winter was a bad winter. Just like 1930 was a bad winter. The difference is in the 1930s the authorities looked at dredging the rivers as the solution :
• Winters in Ireland 2009-2015