With all the recent talk in the Irish media about the climate catastrophes of 2018, it's worth noting that very few commentators and "experts" make reference to the actual temperature data for last year. In this article, I have compiled the temperature data for all the rural weather stations in Ireland. These stations would not be affected by the urban heat island effect so are more reliable than stations in airports and cities.
The result shows that the average (mean) temperature for the period 1981-2010 was 10 degrees. The average for 2018 was just above that at 10.14 degrees, an increase of just 1.4%. This is a long way away from the two degree increase doomsday scenario often touted by climate alarmists which would require an increase of 20% in the average temperature.
| Rural Stations |
Mean Temp 1981-2010
|
Mean Temp 2018
| |
Athenry
|
9.9
|
9.8
| |
Ballyhaise
|
9.6
|
9.5
| |
Belmullet
|
10.2
|
10.1
| |
Claremorris
|
9.4
|
9.6
| |
Dunsany
|
9.3
|
9.7
| |
Finner
|
9.7
|
9.9
| |
Gurteen
|
9.6
|
9.9
| |
Johnstown
|
10.2
|
10.4
| |
Mace Head
|
10.7
|
10.6
| |
Malin Head
|
9.7
|
9.8
| |
Markee
|
9.6
|
9.3
| |
Moore Park
|
10
|
10.4
| |
Mt Dillon
|
9.4
|
9.5
| |
Mullingar
|
9.2
|
9.5
| |
Newport
|
10.3
|
10.5
| |
Oak Park
|
9.8
|
10.4
| |
Roches Pt
|
10.7
|
11
| |
Shannon
|
10.7
|
10.8
| |
Sherkin Island
|
11.1
|
11.1
| |
Valentia
|
10.8
|
10.9
| |
Mean
|
10.0
|
10.14
|
0.14 degrees
|
1.4%
|
Reference : Met Eireann Monthly Data
The variance here has no statistical significance. Even the most expertly engineered and maintained manufacturing process has Upper Control Limits and Lower Control Limits.The 2018 temperatures should be adjusted down wards to take account of the Urban Heat Island effect.However as pointed out in your previous blog. This might undermine the climate racket. We could not have that as they might have to do real science for a living .
ReplyDeleteAnd by picking a small sample size in one country over a very short period of time(relatively) you have seriously skewed the data
ReplyDeleteActually over 90% of weather stations was used .
DeleteThe average is over a period of 30 years or less if the station was set up after 1981.
And it's Irish data only because it's Irish policy that we are focused on.
So not sure what you mean.
Those using the Anonymous usernames should follow it with a number. Such as Anonymous9 or Anonymous43 to make it easier to tell posters apart.
ReplyDeleteIt is twice as cold today as it was on 1st Feb 2005 at the North Pole. Readers should note the temperature record does not begin until 1st February 2005, but it will provide a useful benchmark for the next 6 to 8 mid winter weeks. It's not scientifically perfect, but it's a good guide over that period. It is twice as cold to day as it was on 1st February 2005. The link does not copy well, but here it is
https://rp5.ru/Weather_archive_in_Cape_Morris_Jesup
This is the only one publishing raw data. I Google "Cape Norris Jesup temperature archive." Note the rp5/weather is included and the site is in green with a facility to select a particular date. Do not get the wrong site with altered data, make sure to get the hourly temperature and remember 58.9 degrees C is a default reading it is actually a blank. Ignore it. This weather station is the only only one I can find in the Arctic region which is operational. It's a tough job keeping it going in such extreme cold. Once you have the raw data you can work out averages, Mean, Median, mode and standard deviation yourself. A trend will soon emerge.
For readers not living in Ireland or the UK, 2018 was an exceptional warm dry year. It was more like California, Southern Spain or Florida than Ireland. It lasted from the, 25th May to late September. While it was a pleasure to experience, it retarded crops in quantity and quality. Some rain arrived in September and the grass crops for winter feed recovered adding some much needed bulk for livestock winter feed.
ReplyDeleteI am very surprised that the difference was only .14 degrees. It was noticeably very warm and calm. The slight increase in temperature should be taken in this context. There was 120 warm days with hardly any cold interval. .
Yes we had a prolonged heatwave in 2018 which seems to have been offset by the late and very cold period during Feb and March . In fact the records show temperatures far below the average during Feb and March and also below average in October.
DeleteActually January too was below average . So I guess theres a lesson there.
DeleteCongratulations to the Irish Energy Blog for reaching 200,000 views. The main stream media shun these topics. The only media opposition to the [progressive green movement is on the internet. That is becoming increasing under threat, for example anti corruption journalist Gemma O'Doherty's live stream was banned from You Tube last week. She did a feature on wind farming earlier which can still be viewed.
ReplyDeleteI suspect all outlets (including this blog) are being closely watched and may be censored. However, I hope and believe this blog will survive because it is more an outlet for very useful information and reliable figures using well established statistical methods then a propaganda outlet. I hope my contributions are seen as positive, I try to keep them concise as possible. I am a cattle farmer with experience in engineering and accounting.
I have located another weather station on the South Pole. Its called Amundsen Scott. Its minus 30 degrees C there to day in mid summer. Check it out. https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/antarctica/south-pole
ReplyDelete